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Do not equate the quality of a decision with the quality of the outcome. A good decision can lead to a bad result (bad luck), and a bad decision can yield a good result (good luck).
Duke argues that a great decision can lead to a terrible result, and a terrible decision can lead to a spectacular result. The quality of a decision should be evaluated based on the information available at the time the choice was made, not what happened afterward. 2. Core Concepts from the Book Resulting (The Outcome Bias) thinking in bets pdf github
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Imagine a wildly successful future and map out the steps it took to get there. The quality of a decision should be evaluated
This comprehensive guide explores the core concepts of Thinking in Bets , why the GitHub community embraces these principles, and how you can apply these decision-making frameworks to software engineering, project management, and daily life. 1. What is "Thinking in Bets"?
However, GitHub is an excellent resource for of the concepts. Below is a breakdown of what you can actually find and a summary of the core framework.